The Cleveland Guardians host the Chicago White Sox for a matinee game on Sunday. The game is the finale of a three-game weekend set at Progressive Field. Sunday’s game is also the last game between the AL Central rivals in Cleveland this season. Dylan Cease takes the mound for Chicago against Aaron Civale for Cleveland.
First pitch is at 12:05 PM ET in Cleveland. Caesars Sportsbook lists Chicago as a -125 favorite ($125 risk to win $100) on the moneyline, while the over/under, or the total number of runs Vegas thinks will score, is 7.5 at the latest odds White Sox vs. Guardians. Before making any Guardians vs. White Sox picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates each MLB game 10,000 times and is 300-260 on the top rated MLB money line picks since the start of the 2021 season. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anyone who has followed it has seen profitable returns.
Now, the model has set her sights on the Guardians vs. the White Sox and revealed her coveted picks and predictions. You can go to SportsLine to see all the MLB draft picks. Here are some MLB odds and trends for White Sox vs. Guardians:
- White Sox vs. Money Line Guardians: White Sox -125, Guardians +105
- White Sox vs. Guardians over/under: 7.5 runs
- White Sox home run vs. Guardians: White Sox -1.5 (+135)
- CHW: The White Sox are 29-24 in day games
- CLE: The Rangers are 30-24 in day games
- White Sox vs. Guardians picks: See the picks at SportsLine
Featured game | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Why you should support the White Sox
Chicago’s projection is bolstered by the presence of Dylan Cease as the team’s projected starting pitcher. Cease is enjoying the best season of his career and the 26-year-old is an American League Cy Young candidate. He has a 2.09 ERA on the season and Cease leads the AL with 11.98 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents have a .602 OPS against Cease, and he has a 2.12 ERA in three starts against Cleveland in 2022.
Cease’s season numbers are strong, but he’s been even better recently, including a recent 14-start stretch in which he allowed one earned run or less in every outing. Cease has a 0.93 ERA since May 29, and he owns a 1.34 ERA on the road this season. Behind him, Chicago has an above-average bullpen that averages more than a hit per inning with a spot in the top-five in the AL in home run rate allowed.
Why you should support Guardians
Cleveland’s offense leads the American League in strikeouts, providing a high base in run production. The Guardians are in the AL’s top four in hits, doubles, triples, stolen bases and batting average, and Cleveland is above the AL average in slugging percentage, OPS, on-base percentage and runs scored.
On the run prevention side, the Rangers are leaning on Aaron Civale, who has been playing well the last few days. After a rough start to 2022, Civale has a 2.97 ERA over his last eight starts, allowing a .634 OPS over that stretch. Civale has a 2.00 ERA in his last four outings and his numbers are much better at home than on the road this season. Cleveland’s bullpen is also pretty good, ranking in the AL’s top five in ERA and wins above replacement, and the Guardians average more than a strikeout per inning and more than three strikeouts per walk.
How to make Guardians vs. White Sox picks
SportsLine’s model is backing the total, projecting 7.9 combined runs and saying one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get MLB model picks at SportsLine.
So who wins White Sox vs. Guardians? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side to jump on, all from the model who printed his MLB picks and find out.